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All eyes will be focused mid-week on the ECB and the fresh clues on its monetary policy. The USA will publish its construction indices and the Manufacturing PMI data. Germany, the eurozone and the U.K. will issue the latter index too. The U.K. will deliver its Retail Sales numbers.
Oil prices recover slightly as overall financial markets recover from sharp drop
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US dollar hits three-month high on safe-haven buying
The US dollar rallied to a three-month high in safe-haven buying on Tuesday, and investors remained right. The rapidly spreading variant virus is causing concern because it could stifle global economic growth.
Commodity currencies that are associated with risk appetite, such as the Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar, have experienced tough trends. As worries about the highly contagious variant of the Delta virus flare up again, investors will choose to hedge or stay out. Delta virus is currently the main novel coronavirus in the world.
The number of infections in the United States has risen sharply, especially in areas where vaccinations are lagging. The US dollar rose and US Treasury yields fell. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell to a five-month low below 1.20% on Monday, as markets once again cast doubt on the economy's strong recovery from the outbreak.
“The shift in relative growth expectations is weakening capital outflows from the United States and increasing the attractiveness of investments,” said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Cambridge Global Payments. in dollars.."
“I think the dollar’s safe-haven strength is justified, because global economic growth is weak and not as strong as it was in the quarter,” said Juan Perez, forex strategist and trader at Tempus Inc. first, so all valuations and economic growth are now called into question in terms of high expectations, that's true"
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U.S. Treasury yields rebounded and the dollar strengthened, dampening gold's rally
Gold wiped out gains on Tuesday, heading for its second drop in three trading days, as a rebound in US Treasury yields curbed non-yielding assets demand for gold. Yields on 10-year US Treasuries rebounded after falling early on Tuesday. The market thinks that as the global pandemic returns, the Fed will continue to support the economy through extreme interest rates. short; A stronger US dollar has also weakened the appeal of gold as an alternative.
As investors tried to gauge bond yields, monetary policy and the global growth outlook, among other factors, gold prices faltered after four straight weeks of gains. Gold, often seen as a safe-haven in times of market turmoil, has also been hit by a new wave of the new pneumonia pandemic that has affected the outlook for an economic recovery.
TD Securities and analysts led by Bart Melek say that despite the continued risk - Adverse sentiment, gold prices have yet to rise, suggesting speculative capital inflows remain very weak, increasing the possibility of further corrections .
Any factor that forces the central bank to expand its stimulus measures will be well received by the gold market. Gold prices in June hit their worst month since 2016, as the Federal Reserve conducted a rate hike forecast on inflation concerns.
However, WisdomTree Research Director Nitesh Shah said that while rising inflation data may underpin monetary policy trends, the growing number of infections could nevertheless put the central bank at risk. Can't brake early.
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